The Roots of US Foreign Policy Naïveté

Diplomacy As A Trojan Horse & Sino-US RelationsMISCELLANEOUS WRITINGS | 2016 EDITION | VOLUME 62 | THE LEADERSHIP SERIES


Part 2 is significantly better and highly recommended.

First though, you must LISTEN to the feature audio in its entirety!

Also, if you read U.S. Cyber Deterrence 1.0 (Preview), How Putin Weaponized U.S. Social Media, and my Garry Kasparov vs. U.S. Putin Apologists articles — all of them prerequisites — you'd understand by the time you're done with this one my assertion that if hacking is the new espionage, diplomacy is the new Trojan horse for an already imploding America.

For a long time, American naïvety of HOW adversaries like China and Russia think was OK.

Not anymore. Because learning an adversary's language abroad, writing books about or majoring in Russian, Chinese or Asian studies doesn't automatically make one an expert but easily a “useful idiot” undergoing indoctrination unawares. Unless they consciously, emphatically refuse to be useful idiots. Sadly for decades, U.S. Foreign Policy has been shaped by naïve apologists intoxicated by hospitality abroad. Establishing dangerous exploitable cadence of the type Bruce Lee exposes in Game of DeathI lived in Asia Pacific for some 15 years. 12+ in China. And this question never ceased to haunt me:

Why is it that — putting aside Russian cyber crime for a moment — China, which is single-handedly responsible for perhaps the most documented evidence of U.S. intellectual property, data theft and strategic economic cyber espionage all of which has benefited its entire economy, military and global reputation, is allowed to get away with so much?

Americans are obsessed with walking on eggshells to not offend Beijing. Yet American disunity and ignorance has never alarmed me more.

GOP Putin apologists keep deflecting blame when Russian U.S. Election meddling is raised with the now all too familiar refrain: “It could be China.” Yet like Russia, China has expertly, surgically socially engineered America to the point where only few who understand the Mainland Chinese core culture of deception find unnerving. To know China is not so much about mastering Mandarin and using chopsticks as it is being superb at reading people.

Most Americans, as heard herein, are trapped in fear rather than resolve. Never asking: Why isn't China offended or embarrassed when they hack us? Here's a thought: We taught them.

Ask any clued-in cyber security, intelligence or strategic security expert to provide overwhelming proof that China attempts to extend the same courtesy or consideration in its aggressive "great brain robbery" as CBS aptly called it, and I promise you, only fake news will suffice.Everyone is freaking about President-elect Donald Trump speaking with Taiwan's Tsai Ing-wen. I'm no Trump fan, and hope The Electors are wise enough to NOT elect him on December 19.

Nevertheless, if Trump is signalling — due to his duplicitous proclivities and not a book he didn't write — a deep understanding of the P.R.C. that those of us intimately familiar with China recognize, one is curious where that leads. That is, assuming he gets past the December 19 Electoral College Vote. However, Johns Hopkins' David Lampton isn't the strategist I'd hire nor Trump the “unpredictable” U.S. President I'd pick to fix America's troubled, antiquated and naive foreign policy.

Be that as it may, like Putin, who feared a Hillary Clinton's Presidency because she knows the Kremlins' deceptive tactics well, based on experience (see preceding article/click white dove below), and Beijing, for similar reasons, because of Clinton's hawkish legal approach to policy-making, China must now deal with Trump's unpredictability. After all, they preferred him.

Except, there's one complication with the candidate they preferred. Trump, like China, doesn't do facts, ethics, and rule of law. The only law good enough for the the Communist Party is that which ensures its survival and/or its ability to get away with unfairness.

And to win with Mainland Chinese, you have to show them you know their game inside out.

The entire Mainland Chinese society, as one CNN forum commenter once opined, is based on deception. It takes ethical, fiercely independent-minded Mainland Chinese born people or veteran foreigners with advanced observational skills, situational awareness and keen strategic security sense to acknowledge this (as one catches people in the act FREQUENTLY) as fact, rather than smear. And to avoid going off on a tangent, I'll spare you relevant anecdotes.However, not surprisingly, this skill, learned from infancy — as I've observed for over a decade living there — permeates national policy. And leveraged internationally to beat the Europeans, Africans, Americans and others in all competitive milieus. That's why China and naive Western academia and even the Department of Justice can talk “cooperation” as China chuckles. Knowing the above Chinese government-affiliated cyber criminals will never see U.S. Justice.

Similarly, kleptocratic, tyrannical and corrupt resource-rich African governments and democracies are being out-foxed as Chinese pour into Africa for business while in China, the citizens of those nations face highly unfavorable social and immigration discrimination as well as outright racism, daily. This, in a country where Black media and movies (Denzel Washington's, etc.), not just American culture, is proactively blocked and suppressed while Chinese leadership colludes with corrupt African leaders who could care less about favorable visa policies for their citizens. Many, I'm told, sometimes getting by on 3-7day visas.

Blame it on corrupt, and like the U.S. Government, naive policies.

It is not the fault of the admirably pragmatic Mainland Chinese, that they're thriving in countries like Ghana where they're beginning to cook and sell local foods and bottled water while Black media and Black American movies are blocked in theaters, fueling intense racial ignorance and curiosity. That's why you have college educated citizens going to great lengths to secretly and rudely film and steal photo shots of unsuspecting foreigners dozing off in public transport or minding their business only to lie when caught. Black people, in particular. All in ways that never happen in Hong Kong.

Trump's duplicity and unpredictability — for strategic security reasons — may not be a bad thing. Because Mainland Chinese leadership have abused American predictability; so-called American values, and Western and African governments' naive foreign policy for years. Case in point, the “since 1979” protocol breach argument/line, getting into the WTO with promises of easing restrictions and respecting Human Rights, the Hong Kong handover, to name a few. 

But words like “cooperation” and “mutual benefit” are useless platitudes American policymakers together with timid, wined and dined academia (see my Social Engineering Series Part 2) have latched on to for years, to justify their careers. And they serve China well.

Whether vis-à-vis the suppression of self-determination, self-expression and Human Rights of the people of Hong Kong, Taiwan, Tibet, the Uighurs, Dalai Lama. As well as North Korean citizens and others in repressed allied nations.Everybody with a good head on their shoulders knows that Taiwan is no province. Mainland Chinese entrepreneurs finding me affable and college professors I've mentored have secretly initiated conversations telling me that much. Likewise, commuters and strangers who opened up to me after I made them laugh and they initiated politically-sensitive queries themselves.

That, as courageous Hong Kongers and legislators have risked Beijing's ruthless ire in asserting publicly with banners: “Hong Kong is not China.” That, the annexed, occupied, arrested, enslaved and suppressed cultures, values and visions Tibetan and Uighurs alike don't belong. Not in a world where self-determination trumps Han-Chinese (Mainland) nationalism.

To counterbalance continued Mainland Chinese leadership manipulation and exploitation of America is to understand and 'patch' the huge cultural competency deficit Americans bring to the table. A deficit that allows us to overlook, despite glaring weekly evidence, the disproportionate role deception plays in our unequal relationship and foreign policy. Second is censorship. With implications for both P.R.C. and U.S. national security. I'll address that later.

Moreover, business opportunities for foreign enterprises, like a small cat acting like a big cat has been a front. A façade for years. Just like Chinese banks hiding over a $2 trillion in loans. Behind all the veneer is nationalism. And Americans who mistake vacationing and hanging out and being wined and dined by Mainland Chinese nationalists for knowing China have always been the first to fall victim to Mainland Chinese deception. Personally, and as entrepreneurs, I'm very fond of the likes of Mark Zuckerberg, Twitter's Jack Dorsey whom I frequently tweet business insights related to China. And the likes of Uber's Travis Kalanick. But that doesn't stop me from describing their moves and that of others blocked or sure to be soon, if not strategically killed in China as naive. Nationalism above all is the way and we know what Albert Einstein said about that:The average Mainlander, even when educated to tertiary level and highly decorated professionally, often is easily ethically challenged by virtue of a “duty” they are relentlessly indoctrinated into believing they owe to “mother China”. As well as a preparedness to use all deceptive means at their disposal to advance the motherland. And Jackie Chan's own Shanghai Noon (2000) accurately depicts this with the line: “He will never learn. He can only follow orders.” Exceptions? Absolutely! From Ai Weiwei and Liu Xiaobo to thousands of voiceless yet courageous Mainland Chinese.

Moreover, the pettiness and retaliatory predisposition of Mainland Chinese foreign policy and whimsical nature of immigration policy based on some argument or offense its leadership takes with some random country, and its bullying tactics with regard to displeasure about Dalai Lama visits, the misappropriation not just of Intellectual Property and flagrant denials when caught, but also of the word "law", like the word "smear", explains why experts have rightly dubbed it "immature".

Such immaturity often parallels its penchant for unprofessionalism not only in the South China Sea but recently directed at President Obama when it choreographed a red carpet G20 arrival snub. Some U.S. optimists might ask: That's the “thank you” we get Nixon's support of your gradual opening up? A “FU” for all that prolific, well-documented IP theft China is well-known for but gets away with? But as if all that wasn't enough Beijing refused to apologize, doubling down on a familiar chorus repeated by China's own Public Security Bureau on social media — variations of which have been directed at other foreigners. Namely:

—This is China!
—This is my country!
—This is our country!
—This is our country! This is our airport!
—If you don't like it, go back to your country!
—If you don't agree, go back to your country!

That's Chinese pragmatism for you.

Often accompaneid by a well-timed cold dish of rudeness that even Her Majesty Queen Elizabeth III knows a thing or two about. Mainland Chinese duplicity buttering up a target through deception even as they greet or dispose of them with rudeness. Free refills guaranteed.

And all in the same week Philippine President Duterte, whose country's U.S. Aid could be used for better things at home called President Obama the “son of a whore.” So, I ask: Isn't time? Isn't America powerful enough to stand up for itself and stop appeasing repressive regimes unafraid hack, plunder, disrespect and bully America into accepting a 'One China' worldview we know to be FALSE? Why is China suffocating the free world with juvenile P.R.C. nationalism while butchering Self-Expression OK?

America's most hostile strategic and aggressive adversaries — China, Russia, Iran and North Korea — have one thing going for them that America urgently lacks in a restive world. And that is political decisiveness and national unity. It doesn't matter if the latter is forced.

What matters is, it's not enough to be at the top of the medal table in the Olympics — something very important to Mainland Chinese nationalism, and needless to say, in Putin's  Russia too — to have a formidable superpower fighting force, Silicon Valley, or the greatest innovations that matter to your name, IF politically, you're a dysfunctional mess.

This, Chinese leadership understands, consistently has, and rightly should, continue to exploit.China is winning. Because regardless its faults, its smart obsession with STABILITY and disinterest in the kind of self-imposed distractions that ideologically consume DISUNITED Americans — from gun hubris, rancor and litigiousness to actively sabotaging their own Presidents; obsessive obstruction, to a kleptocracy by legislature and oligarchy by judiciary — means it is in fact more formidable than the U.S. by virtue of its ability to stay functional and focused as a nation. A strength it's invested in perfecting.

It also knows its weaknesses. Which is why its posturing in the South China Sea is a bit laughable because well-informed defense analysts will tell you its military buildup as well as island occupation can't survive a serious military conflict. Not with a military superpower.

The same argument applies to talk of nuking Taiwan's 23 million peace-loving citizens or bullying them to forego their right to self-determination. Sure. But at what price?

The Russians? Click above to read. And listen to Garry Kasparov in the previous installment. But similarly, when Putin jokes about destroying America in 30 minutes — again, sure. Almost everybody has nuclear weapons now. But he'd have to take the whole world with him. Wouldn't he?By contrast, U.S. foreign policy is enslaved, hacked, socially engineered and naively stuck in the past. Applying American ideals where cutthroat competition is required. With marriage to the 'faculty lounge' suffocating imagination like a Floyd Mayweather opponent out of ideas, facing indecision and capitulating.

America has over-studied its enemies yet missed the fundamentals laid out above. And I might add, to offset P.R.C pragmatism — which China counts on the rest of the world to be ignorant of — stakeholders have to understand it's not enough to hire Mandarin speakers/expats, cower to Chinese demands, capitulate to technology transfer demands, outsource jobs while unknowingly facilitating State-sponsored data breach. It's time for America to steadily untangle itself by being OBSESSED with stability, economic growth that benefits all, and national unity. A heavy lift given its fractured politics. But doable. For national (economic) security.

China's own 孫子/Sun Tzu would ask America to ponder this: If China worried so much about what wouldn't work and what adversaries would do, would she be the envied miracle it is today?

The fresh thinking required to upgrade and rectify U.S. Foreign Policy as it relates to China comes from people as skeptical of “experts” who know everything about the past but nothing about future ingenuity. Like Manoj Bhargava is. Until then, Mainland Chinese leadership understand quite well

○ ○ ○Breakthrough Ideas for December 2016 (1 of 2)(Follow the Dove)

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I M A G E S

Understanding Social Engineering VI

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TT

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